Market Review 24th October 2023
Simplify the craziness
DAILY REVIEW
N
3 min read
The U.S. stock market bounced back on Tuesday, breaking a series of recent losing streaks, as investors were buoyed by better-than-expected earnings reports from prominent blue-chip companies. This resurgence in the market was further fueled by the anticipation of earnings announcements from tech giants Alphabet, Microsoft, HSBC, Coca Cola, and Visa. In this article, we'll delve into the key factors that drove the market's performance and the role that strong earnings played in revitalizing investor sentiment.
Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 Snap Losing Streaks:
On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made a strong comeback, surging 204.97 points, or 0.6%, to close at 33,141.38. This marked the end of a four-day losing streak for the index. The S&P 500 also experienced a positive day, gaining 30.64 points, or 0.7%, to finish at 4,247.68, breaking a five-day losing streak, its longest this year. These gains were accompanied by the Nasdaq Composite, which climbed 121.55 points, or 0.9%, to end at 13,139.87.
Strong Earnings Propel the Dow while Earnings Season Exceeds Expectations:
One of the primary drivers behind this market turnaround was a slew of impressive earnings reports. Companies like Coca-Cola, General Electric, 3M, and General Motors, among others, released better-than-expected results before the opening bell. Additionally, post-market close reports from tech giants Microsoft and Alphabet added to the positive sentiment.
Approximately 30% of S&P 500 companies were set to report their earnings during the week in question. So far, earnings season had been surpassing Wall Street expectations. A significant 77% of the companies that had already reported earnings had exceeded analysts' predictions, according to FactSet. This robust performance across various sectors served as a major catalyst for the market's rebound.
Potential for a Year-End Rally:
Kent Engelke, Chief Economic Strategist and Managing Director at Capitol Securities Management, pointed out the positive aspect of what companies were and were not saying in their forward guidance. He noted that companies were not expressing concerns about inflation eroding their margins, and their forward-looking statements remained optimistic. This lack of pessimism in the guidance offered investors reassurance.
Louis Navellier, Chairman and Founder of Navellier & Associates, expressed optimism about the potential for a strong year-end rally if the rest of the earnings season continued as positively as the early announcements, especially from consumer-facing companies.
Economic Data and Interest Rates:
In addition to strong earnings, U.S. economic data contributed to the market's positive sentiment. The S&P flash U.S. services-sector index and manufacturing-sector index both signaled expansion, indicating a positive economic outlook. Furthermore, hopes that interest rates may have peaked and concerns about inflationary pressures cooling down added to the overall optimism.
Despite the improved sentiment, investors remained wary of the Treasury market. The 10-year Treasury yield saw fluctuations, rising briefly above 5%. Supply-demand imbalances and concerns about the recent yield movements remained a point of focus for market participants. The stabilization of both equities and Treasuries was expected to be a gradual process.
Companies in Focus:
Several key companies posted notable results.
General Motors exceeded third-quarter earnings estimates, but a strike expansion by the United Auto Workers affected its stock.
General Electric saw a 6.5% rise in its stock after better-than-expected earnings.
Coca-Cola reported upbeat results, leading to a 2.9% increase in its stock. Verizon Communications raised its free-cash-flow expectations, resulting in a 9.3% stock gain.
Halliburton, while exceeding profit expectations, faced a slight shortfall in revenue.
Conclusion:
The U.S. stock market's recent resurgence, marked by the Dow Jones and S&P 500 breaking their losing streaks, can be attributed to strong earnings from various sectors. As the earnings season continues and with optimistic forward guidance from companies, investors are looking forward to a potential year-end rally. Positive economic data and hopes of stabilizing interest rates have further improved market sentiment. Nonetheless, the Treasury market and fluctuations in yields remain a cause for concern, highlighting the need for ongoing support from corporate earnings in the coming days.

